We’ve got an awesome MNF two-gamer and our guy John Warner (@SBjohn12) is here to break down all the action and offer up his favorite bets!
After what seems like eighty years of having to bet on baseball, we finally have football back in our lives! I’m not sure when ESPN started it, but the Week One MNF Doubleheader is fucking genius. It’s really a shame it’s the only week they do this because I, for one, love the shitty late-night West Coast game.Thankfully, both games are at least interesting and can’t be any worse than the season opener between Green Bay and Chicago, right? Let’s get it started down in Nawlins where we get to see the Saints start their revenge tour on the NFL.
Without a doubt, the Saints pass interference no-call was the talk od the off-season in regards to rule changes, as coaches can now challenge PI/non-PI calls. This is the first action we will have seen from Payton, Brees and co., since losing the NFC Championship Game on a Greg The Leg pissmissile from 57 out. I’m really not sure what to expect from the Saints this year. The romantic in me would love to see the Saints go 2014 Spurs, and run roughshod through the NFC to make up for last year’s heartbreak. But what can we expect from Brees this season? There was a noticeable dropoff in his play the second half of last year, and he’s clearly on the tail end of his career. The Saints will be a bit thin on the interior defensive line with Mario Edwards and Sheldon Rankins both ruled out. Whether the Texans have the personnel to take advantage of this is a different story.
The Texans are in a state of complete disarray. With no general manager for the last three months, local clownshow head coach Bill O’Brien has gone rogue to top off what could only be described as a mediocre offseason. Two starters from the secondary in Tyrann Mathieu and Kareem Jackson are gone as well as freak DE Jadaveon Clowney. If nothing else they’ve attempted to beef up Deshaun Watson’s protection by acquiring Matt Kalil and Laremy Tunsil. Trading a 3rd round pick for a backup RB in Duke Johnson is completely inexcusable, but he is now thrown into the starting role with Lamar Miller out for the year. I do expect big things from the Texans offense this year, the defense, however, was average last year, and I expect that unit to take a step back.
In all, a lot of signs point to a potential track meet in the Superdome. While I do expect Brees to regress this year, he has all-world playmakers surrounding him, and Payton does an excellent job at scheming his guys open. The Texans can hold their own for a bit offensively, but the bottom line is there is a gulf in class between these two defenses. I’m looking for a hot start from the Saints as they look to exploit a weak Texans secondary.
Oh yeah, Oakland fucking sucks eggs and I refuse to expand on them any further. I bet Denver -1 right before Barnum and Bailey released Antonio Brown. Denver hired Vic Fangio, who was the Chicago DC last year. They have all-world bookend DE’s in Von Miller and Bradley Chubb, their defense is as loaded as ever. Elway brought in Joe Flacco this year, in his eternal quest to recapture the lightning in a bottle he caught with Manning earlier this decade. They at least have some outside potential to sneak into the playoffs with a defense of that quality, and are certainly a more cohesive team than whatever the hell is going on in Gruden’s Funhouse.
- Saints 1st half team total – Over 14 -110
- Saints -.5/Over 46 6 pt tease -110
- Denver -2.5 -110 (will grade this as this is more widely available)