John Warner previews this week’s NFL TNF matchup and gives out his favorite bets!
Week 4 kicks off this week and we couldn’t have a lower quality game this week if the NFL tried. We get a truly horrid matchup between the Broncos and Jets before we get two decent matchups in the following weeks. Words can barely describe how terrible these teams are. But with Thursday Night Football comes new opportunities for betting, so here we are once more! But let’s go ahead and mark this down as a good night to actually spend time with one’s family instead of watching what’s assuredly going to be a dumpster fire tonight, rivaled only by Tuesday’s night debate.
In fairness to Denver, the Broncos have been decimated by injuries, seemingly every week a new starter or three is out. Denver is starting undrafted QB Brett Rypien out of Boise State tonight, with Fangio saying that Jeff Driskel is “in the mix” to get some snaps as well. Nothing says “sterling endorsement” like throwing your hands up and saying any QB can play at any time. Have to keep Gase on his toes, I guess. Rypien is the fifth different QB to start a game for Denver since the start of last year, as GM John Elway continues to try to find the franchise’s footing after Peyton Manning’s retirement. The lone bright spot for the Broncos has been their defense. Not to say it’s been outstanding, but at least that side of the ball is serviceable. And “serviceable” may be enough to take out the zombie Jets tonight.
I don’t think there’s a franchise in worse long-term position than the New York Jets. Adam Gase is a dead man walking, and has robbed teams blind, stealing check after check with seemingly no improvement from week to week, or year to year. The lone bright spot for New York is… Sam Darnold’s only in his third year? Also, not a sterling endorsement. This is the 3rd overall pick who has shown little to no improvement this year, but I’m not sure we can hold it against him since he has to work with Gase. This offense has been an absolute nightmare in their first 3 games, ranking dead last in scoring, passing yards, first downs, and red zone efficiency. New York is also 31st in the league in yards per play. Is that bad? Seems bad.
What a game we had Monday night though! We won our two bigger bets, and we’re finally in the black on the season, albeit by only a couple shekels. This game is particularly tough to get a handle on with so many injuries. I anticipate a shitshow of the highest degree, with fewer possessions, and anemic offense. We won’t be risking a lot on this one, so when in doubt, take the points!
Thursday Night Football Bets
Denver +7/Under 47 6-point teaser -120 .75x
Season Total: 7-8-1 +0.23x