Elite Sports Betting is taking you through every NFL Division, one at a time! Click below to jump around the league...
Odds to win the AFC West: +1407
Odds to win the Super Bowl: +9644
2018 record: 6-10
Over/Under wins: 7 over -103/-115
The Broncos start a new era as Vic Fangio takes over as head coach and Joe Flacco comes into the quarterback room from Baltimore to battle/mentor second round pick Drew Lock. As a defensive coordinator, Fangio has had great success with the Bears and 49ers, and it seems he won’t have a problem fielding a solid unit on that side of the ball. The big concern will be the offense. It’s been known for years now that Joe Flacco isn’t going to be an efficient quarterback in the NFL and putting a second round rookie behind center isn’t likely to solve your problems. The Broncos are priced correctly going into the season and until we see the offense improve, investing in them long-term doesn’t seem to be wise.
Kansas City Chiefs
Odds to win the AFC West: -153
Odds to win the Super Bowl: +781
2018 record: 12-4
Over/Under wins: 10.5 over +104/-124
Patrick Mahomes had an amazing season last year leading the Chiefs to an AFC West title. It’s no surprise that they return as favorites in this division but there are reasons to be concerned going into this year investing in the Chiefs. For starters, they have one of the worst defenses in the league and last year the offense was able to bail them out game in and game out. The Chiefs are currently being priced to keep up the offensive output from last year and that’s not likely as regression is almost inevitable for Mahomes and company. At their current price, there is no reason to lay any money on the Chiefs and maybe look towards playing their win total under.
Los Angeles Chargers
Odds to win the AFC West: +161
Odds to win the Super Bowl: +1431
2018 record: 12-4
Over/Under wins: 9.5 over -152/+127
Don’t let the Melvin Gordon holdout steer you away from the Chargers, they’re still going to be a good team. Coming off a 12-4 campaign last year and a second place finish in the division, Philip Rivers leads a talented Chargers team in hopes of finding his first Super Bowl ring. As you can see when comparing the win totals between the Chargers and Chiefs, they’re not too far off (10.4-10.3) when adjusting for the juice. If there is a team to put your money on in the AFC West, the Chargers are your best option.
Odds to win the AFC West: +1887
Odds to win the Super Bowl: +11255
2018 record: 4-12
Over/Under wins: 6 over +110/-131
There isn’t much to say about Jon Gruden and the Raiders anymore. They’re, again, the worst team in the division and after investing $125 million in Derek Carr, they’re going to have an average quarterback running things until 2023. They made a splash in trading for Antonio Brown this offseason so the offense could be a little more fun than a season ago but still not an offense that gets you to the playoffs in a pretty tough division. Things are looking up, however, as they have a ton of draft capital in the future. If they make good draft picks, maybe they can get back to the top of the AFC West but it’s not likely to happen this season.